Manny Pacquiao Will Lose: Juan Manuel Marquez Eyes Upset

By Geno McGahee

A booming right hand sent Likar Ramos down and out in just 1 minute and 47 seconds of the first round. Ramos, a huge underdog going into the fight, hoped to spoil the mega fight between Marquez and Manny Pacquiao in November, but those hopes were crushed shortly in Mexico by the skilled warrior.

Marquez, 53-5-1, 39 KO’s, has come the closest to beating the Manny Pacquiao, 53-3-2, 38 KO’s, in recent times, losing a split decision in their rematch in 2008, and fought him to a draw in their first encounter. He wears a shirt that says that he is the man that beat Pacquiao on two occasions and hopes to use his skill to control the Filipino storm that will be hitting him in November.

At 37, Marquez is not at the top of his game any longer and seems to be a few steps slower then he used to be, but he has made up for his diminishing reflexes with his amazing skill and ability to control the fight. His inability to avoid some punches makes him more vulnerable to Pacquiao, but Manny isn’t the fighter he was either, slowing down several steps in recent fights. He’s more powerful than ever, but he isn’t the same. What this means is that we are in for some fun in November.

Manny has been feasting on bigger men in recent times like Joshua Clottey, Antonio Margarito, and Shane Mosley, and that may hurt him going into this fight as he gears to face a naturally smaller man. Many are pointing to the performance that Marquez gave against Floyd Mayweather, JR., as evidence that he has no chance to defeat Manny, but styles make fights, and there was no way that Marquez could beat a much bigger counter puncher, especially when he is forced to be the aggressor, which he is not. He’s a counter puncher himself and Pacquiao’s aggression is going to bring out the best in Marquez. He will be able to use his style to compete, but can he defeat Pacquiao?

The first two fights were incredibly close, but there is no indication from those two outings that Marquez can do anything other than to fight Manny evenly to the final bell. He fought a game of survival, waiting for Manny to make a mistake and land his shots. He has done this but he has never put Pacquiao in a position where he was close to being stopped. Marquez’s attack against Manny is controlled. He fights enough to keep Manny at bay, but will he risk it all to try to beat and batter Pacquiao into submission?

In November, if Manny is to lose, Marquez must bring more fire to this fight and must push the issue when he lands his shots. Pacquiao’s plan is going to be to squash the smaller man, and this will give Marquez the opportunity to shine or be blown out. We’ll find out in November.

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